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Saturday, November 11, 2023

2023 Diwali pick: Ratnaveer Precision Engineering Limited







Ratnaveer Precision Engineering a recently listed company is my 2023 Diwali pick for my valuable blog follower s.IPO had come at around Rs 98 price.

It is India’s leading stainless steel washers manufacturer & supplier manufacturing  around 4000MT PA.Stanless steel is becoming more popular because of its anti corrosion property and food safety in the food ,engineering 


Company has recently registered a business unit in Dubai UAE,which indicates company's Long term vision to expand.


1. Ratnaveer produce more than 2500 washers in different sizes and international standards.

Apart from special washers & nuts they also manufacture 

2. stainless steel sheets(used elevators,malls,Pharma & food packaging industries)

3. stainless Steel pipes and tubes.

4. solar mounting hooks.




Product applications:

Products find application in  escalators, conveyors, bus stands,malls, food, Pharma packaging machines, solar panels etc.


All products have rising demand for domestic & export 

 During the last five years, the company is regularly expanding its infrastructure and facilities and has achieved a decent Compound annual growth and targeting to achieve 850+crores turnover in next 2 years through capacity expansion.


Fundamentals

Current Mcap : Rs581 crores 

ROE:28%

PE : 15


Financials:



Post listing company has delivered H1 results and achieved turnover of 260 crores and earned EPS of 3.97 in H1 resulting in a 17% growth over the previous year .On an estimated basis the company should deliver revenue of Rs540 -550 crores in FY23-24 at conservative EPS estimate of 9 the stock is available at forward multiple of around 14 .

Companies which are into precision steel component manufacturing such as Rolex,Harsha, steel tube manufacturers enjoys much higher PE multiples in current scenario.

Application of products is very wide and in diversified industries makes it A proxy to engineering, industrial,solar panel(Renewables),auto, etc 

Looking at growth potential and expected margins improvement in future stock looks very attractive

Sunday, August 27, 2023

Gulf oil Lubricant India limited : A consumable play in Auto & Industrial segment CMP Rs562 TP Rs 785



 


About Company 

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (GOLIL), part of Hinduja Group and Gulf Oil International, is one of the leading players in the lubricant market in India and has a top 2 / 3 position in key segments amongst the private sector brands. GOLIL has a wide range of world class-leading products in the automotive and industrial lubricants space catering to B2B and B2C segments with a growing distribution network. The brand has tie-ups with around 40 OEM's and is a leader in the direct sales network to industrial, infrastructure and institutional customers, and exports to over 25 countries. 

Gulf Oil India is one of the prominent manufacturer and marketer of quality Adblue product range and is one of the preferred supplier of many automotive OEMs. Along with automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, They Have a Top 5 share in the 2-wheeler batteries replacement segment. In India, 

Gulf oil has a strong manufacturing and R&D bases with two plants in Silvassa and Ennore, Chennai. The brand is working towards being future-ready to offer additional mobility solutions and has recently tied up with Indra Technologies- UK based charger/mobility company and ElectreeFi, an EV SaaS provider to drive the change. 

Today, globally the Gulf brand is present in more than 100 countries across five continents. The Gulf Oil international Group's core business is manufacturing and marketing an extensive range of over 400 Performance lubricants and associated products for all market segments.

Gulf enjoys a strong brand recall built through association with brand ambassadors like Mahendra Singh Dhoni, hardik Pandya, Smriti Mandhana, Chennai Super Kings coupled with global sporting partnerships like Williams

AdBlue® is a diesel exhaust fluid used in vehicles with Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) technology to reduce harmful gases being released into the atmosphere. AdBlue® is solution of high-purity, synthetically manufactured urea in de-mineralized water. It is a safe-to-use fluid.



Financials


Gulf oil Q1: results topline grew by approximately 15% and net profit grew by 23% thanks to lower RM prices. adlube brand which is a consumable to reduce engine exhaust pollution is received by the market well and seeing good demand and contributing to the growth of company, diversifying and focussing on EV ,also industrial lubricant segment catering to,engines,compressor, bearing,marine,turbine segment will see a rise in demand due to higher domestic manufacturing activities & expansion 


Promoter holding:72%

ROE: 21%

ROCE:24%

Last Dividend: Rs 25

Face Value :Rs 2

Gulf oil  came with buy back offer last year at Rs600 current price after becoming ex dividend is less then the last buy back.Looking at trend it has potential to deliver EPS of Rs 52-55 for year 23-24 based on estimated EPS stock is available at forward PE of just 10-11.

Long term investors may accumulate on dips for one year TP of Rs 785.

Sunday, November 6, 2022

DODLA DAIRY LIMITED : A Milk product company of south India A value pick at CMP Rs 495



 


Face Value : Rs 10
Current Market cap :2949 crores
ROE :15.74
ROCE:19.1%
Promoters :62.21%
Sector : Dairy(FMCG)




About Company : : Founded in 1995, Dodla Dairy Limited is an integrated dairy company based in South India. Processes and sells milk and produces dairy-based value-added products viz. Curd, ice-cream, butter, Ghee, Paneer, Youghurt, cheese, Paturised pouch milk, UHT Milk. Currently, Dodla procurement is centered in 5 states(Telangana,AP,Karnatka,TN and products are available for purchase in 13 states. Total 15 milk processing plants in India &Uganda, It has 113 milk chilling centers,1300 plus milk product distributors,2700+ distribution agents,555 Dodla retail parlours. selling value added products.

               

Dodla Dairy got listed on bourses after successful IPO in June 2021 (at IPO price of 428).Later in 20222 it acquired Sri Kisna Milk (P) Ltd,

 

Financials :






 

Rational Investment:

1.       3RD Largest player in south India in terms of  milk procurement.

2.       The Company enjoys a debt free status and is steadily expanding its capabilities and capacities which is reflected in the growth of Non-current assets from FY19- FY22.Dodla Dairy is investing heavily in expanding its range of value-added products, a move that is anticipated to boost margins. It has invested significantly in value-added products such as Curd, Ice Creams, Flavored Milk, Lassi, Butter Milk, Yoghurt to name a few.

3.       The rapid economic growth and urbanization have resulted in a fundamental shift in consumer preferences and food preferences

4.        Consumer desire for branded, healthier, and more nutritional alternatives is growing

5.        Rising disposable incomes driving demand for value added dairy products

6.       Global presence Uganda + Kenya.

7.       Topline growth at CAGR 14% over last 10 years.

8.       Recovery &Improvement in EBIDTA margins in Q2 vs Q1(22-23)

 Market cap almost = year sale(2023E)

Target Price: FY 21-22 Revenue 2243 Crs EPS 22.24,H1FY-222-23 achieved 1412crs resulting in 31% YOY growth. FY-22-23 Estimated revenue 2900Cr ,expected EPS 24-24.5 Management is targeting 15% CAGR  for next 3 years  going forward the earnings and profitability is expected to grow proportionality ,with expansion in margin with increase in VAP ,next 3 years EPS could grow proportionately to ,28,32,37. At CMP of Rs 495 stock is available at forward PE of 20 which is low and attractive for FMCG company. .Going forward PE expansion and rising EPS could take this stock at much higher levels in next 3 years. At next year expected EPS of 28 & at a forward PE OF 25 stock has potential to touch Rs 700 in 1 year.

Recommended to accumulate(SIP) only for Long term investors on all dips with target price of Rs700

 

 


Monday, October 24, 2022

Mallcom (India) Limited cmp Rs 682 A largest manufacturer & distributor of PPE Products Target Price Rs 950



 


Face Value  : Rs 10
Equity :6.24 Crores
current Makt cap : Rs 425 crores
Sector : Industrial products



About Company: Established in 1983  Mallcom (India) Ltd. is India’s leading Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) brand has grown to become one of the largest Indian Player. Having a presence in more than 75 countries on 6 continents, Mallcom has established itself as the integrated manufacturer and distributor for head to toe protection and is a valued partner for major importers in their brand name. . Mallcom has captive test labs in each of its production units that manage standards and ensures quality. Continuous  investment in upgrading and innovation in the lab has helped Mallcom to customize and develop PPE’s faster in sync with the changing safety requirements of the workplace.

An ISO certified and government-registered star trading house, Mallcom produces numerous product categories covering head to toe such as helmets, face masks, garments, rainwear, leather gloves, nitrile gloves, and safety shoes.  Mallcom also deals in eyewear, ear protection,harnesses .

PPE Products : PPE is Personal Protection Equipment concerning occupational safety. It’s application could be in medical science, in a factory, on a road, mining  or in a kitchen. India had a very low awareness and focus on safety since it adds to the cost of operations, Thanks to growing numbers of MNC and large Indian companies which brought new focus on mandatory use of safety and related products which has resulted in growing demand of safety products across all sectors. Some of these widely used products like, hand gloves and safety shoes are subject to wear and tear hence there is always a repeated demand from the end user.

 

Manufacturing units : Mallcom has 13 manufacturing facilities spread across Bengal, Uttarakhand(Haridwar) & Gujrat(Ahmdabad)

Product Revenue Mix :            Annual Capacity

1.Saffety shoes : 35%                              3Million

2.Garments : 27%                                    2.2Million

3.Leather Gloves :24%                             12Million

4.Nitrile Gloves : 8%                                  14 Million

5.Others(Helmets,Mask) : 6%

 

Domestic Business(32%): Till 2008 Mallcom was 100% EOU in last 14 years domestic business has grown to 32% of total revenue and more awareness , focus on safety and capacity expansion by existing industrial sectors  the domestic business is set for continuous growth.Indian PPE market size is expected to grow at CAGR of 16% till 2026

Export Business(68%): Mallcom has been exporting to emerging markets in the far east,South Pacific,Africa,Middle East and Central America.It intends to expand its presence to USA,Australia and UK.Europe constitutes to  65% of export revenue.

Financials :

Mallcom has established a track record of robust financial performance with  growth in revenue from operation through backward integration and capacity expansion  With an annual turnover of about Rs357 Crores in FY 21-22





Investment Rational:

Domestic market of PPE is currently 1500 crores of size but mostly fragmented and is likely to be more than Rs 5000 crores in next  few years( as per the management estimation) and as stated Indian mkt size could grow at compounded rate of 16% in next 4-5 years resulting in huge business possibilities in India. As per management company is also witnessing early effects of China+1 policy due to increasing lock downs in China leading to their supply chain constraints as well as economic issues and lack of stable government in neighboring countries such as Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Banglasdesh.

Q-1(FY22-23)  Revenue was up  42%  from 61.5 Crs to 87.4 Crs

EBIDTA Margin improved to 13.62%

Q-1(FY22-23) PAT grew by 38%

New trade deals signed with UAE & Australia to help create new markets for Mallcom

Market cap at cmp(Rs 682) is just 425 crs on equity base of Rs 6.24Crores

Promoters Holding : 73.78% very high

Consistent Dividend paying record and almost debt free status

Fy 21-22 Revenue 357 Crs EPS 50.57 Management has given conservative revenue guidelines of Rs 410 crores for FY 22-23 which could result in EPS of Rs 55 for current year thus stock hold lot of value at forward PE of 12.5 at cmp of Rs 682.

Stock was initially discovered and recommended by me in 2019 at then price of Rs 190  in 3 years stock touched high of Rs 1079 resulted in 5x returns in 3 years

Recommended to accumulate only for Long term investors on all dips with one year target price of Rs950.

ACCUMULATE

 

 

 





Saturday, April 16, 2022

India Pesticides Limited (1Rs) : Ongoing & Future expansions to take company to new highs CMP Rs 302-305 : A Potential Multibagger




 India Pesticides Limited

Face Value of Share : Rs 1

Equity : 11.52 crores

Current Market cap : 3500 crores

ROCE :45%(2021)

ROE : 34%(2021)


About Company: India Pesticides Limited is one of the fastest growing globally operating chemical manufactures in India established in 1984, India Pesticides has pioneered the manufacturing of both Technicals & Formulations in Agro-Chemicals and Active Pharma Ingredients mainly for dermal application.

IPL is Sole Indian manufacturer of five Technicals and among the leading manufacturers globally for Captan, Folpet and Thiocarbamate Herbicide, in terms of production capacity  It’s diversified portfolio of niche and quality products along with value-added services makes it  a strategic supplier for US, Australia, Europe, Africa, South America and Asia.

Technicals (62%)  : Commercial form of the relatively pure active ingredients used for manufacturing formulated agro chemicals products. Herbicides, Fungicides, Insecticides & intermediates.

Formulations(28%): Final form of crop saving pesticide, which contains one or more technical grade ingredients in definite proportion.

API(Active Pharma Ingredients (10%) : Substance or part of any medicinal drug that produces the intended effects used in a finished pharmaceutical product. Anti Fungal Drugs,Anti scabies drugs

Manufacturing units                                             Capacity

1.UPSIDC ,Lucknow :        2100 MT PA (Technicals)    3000MT(Formulations)

2.UPSIDC Sardila              18900 MT   (Technicals)       3500MT (Formulations)

 3.Hamirpur : Coming up                    30000 MT 

Domestic Business(47%): PL distributes its products through network of over 20 sales depot spread across Pan India. All the sales depots are well connected with warehouses spread across 15 states. Overall domestic market is managed by our sales force located at 20 branches offices across India. 4712 Dealers and they are working on to increase presence in more number of states because  technical are also growing. 

Export Business(53%):IPL exports its products to more than 40 countries across the globe at regulated markets in US, Australia, Europe, Africa, South America and Asia,  dedicated Business Development Team members located in Europe and the United States focuses on expansion of distribution network.

Key Clients:

1.UPL  2.Stotras  3.Syngenta  4.Sharda Crop-chem   5.AscenZa Agro  6.Conquest Corp  7. Adama

Financials:

IPL has established a track record of robust financial performance with 90.48% growth in revenue from operation between FY19 to FY21. With an annual turnover of about Rs. 650 crores (FY 20-21)



Growth Drivers:

1. Expansion of existing facility and new manufacturing plant to drive higher production in the future

2. Continuous expansion of product portfolio on an ongoing basis to ensure significant business growth

3. Backward integration to reduce dependence on import of raw materials and covering entire stage of production

4.  Growing demand across India and globally in agrochemical and agricultural industry

5. China plus one policy being adopted by companies across globe

Risks :

Rising crude oil and commodity prices may impact margins in case of inability to pass on to customers

Investment Rational :

    IPL is almost a debt free and enjoys very high margin, it has grown from 230 crore (2016) to approx 700+crores(expected 2022) in just 6 years with consistent increasing profits. IPL has major expansion plans post IPO and some planned expansions in existing units has already been completed and new facility at Hamirpur is expected to be operational in 2023.It has already achieved revenue of 538 crores in FY2022 for 9 months ending December2021 and is expected to close year with 700+ crores  with expected EPS of 16-17 .Looking at planned expansion ,very high profit margins and strong growth potential from export and domestic, management is confident of achieving 20%+ growth in next 3 years. Stock is availaible at much cheaper valuations as compared to other listed peers. From 1 year point of view it can deliver EPS of Rs 20-21 in FY22-23 and at PE multiple of 20 stock can touch Rs 410-420 in 1 year.

Long term investors may buy at cmp of Rs 302-305 and accumulate on dips.


Thursday, January 27, 2022

Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd (5 Rs) A strong MNC software company cmp Rs 3350-3400 One year Target price Rs 4500



 


Oracle Financial Services Software Limited (OFSS)  majority owned by Oracle, is a world leader in providing IT solutions to the financial services industry. With its experience of delivering value-based IT solutions to global financial institutions. OFSS dedicated research and development centers excel in innovation by developing world class products that strive to be ahead of the market. OFSS offers financial institutions the world’s most comprehensive and contemporary banking applications and a technology footprint that addresses their complex IT and business requirements. It offers a comprehensive suite of offerings encompassing retail, corporate, and investment banking, funds, cash management, trade, treasury, payments, lending, asset management, compliance, enterprise risk and business analytics, anti-financial crime among others.

1. The products business (89%)(comprising product licensing, consulting and support) is principal business segment . Oracle FLEXCUBE is a complete banking solution for retail, corporate and investment banking, consumer lending, asset management, and investor servicing including payments. These solutions are built on latest technology and offer various deployment choices of a cloud / SaaS or an on-premise deployment.

2. Oracle Financial Services Prime Sourcing (8%)offers a comprehensive suite of consulting and application services addressing retail, corporate, and investment banking, funds, cash management, trade, treasury, payments, lending, private wealth management, asset management, compliance, enterprise risk and business analytics. PrimeSourcing offerings encompass end-to-end consulting partnership, providing comprehensive business and technology solutions that enable financial services enterprises to improve process efficiencies, optimize costs, meet risk and compliance requirements, define IT architecture, and manage the transformation process.

3. Oracle Business Process Outsourcing Services (BPO)(3%)  offers cost effective and high quality BPO services ranging from complex back-office work to contact center services for the banking, capital markets, insurance and asset management domains

Revenues comprise three streams –

1.  License fees :  standard licensing arrangements for products provide the bank a right to use the product up to a limit on number of users or sites or such other usage metric upon the payment of a license fee. The license fee is a function of a variety of quantitative and qualitative factors, including the number of copies, users, modules and geographical locations supported. The licenses are perpetual, non-exclusive, personal, non-transferable and royalty free. In products business, customers can optionally avail consulting services related to the implementation of products at their sites, integration with other systems or enhancements to address their specific requirements

2. Annual maintenance contract (post contract support – PCS) fees for the products : Annual maintenance contract (PCS) fees Customers typically sign an Annual Maintenance Contract with OFSS under which, it provides  technical support, maintenance, problem resolution and upgrades for the licensed products. These support agreements typically cover a period of twelve months and are renewed every year. The annual maintenance contracts generate steady revenues and could grow to the extent that new customers are entering a support agreement

3. Consulting fees in respective business segments: The customer is typically charged a service fee on either fixed price basis or a time and material basis based on the professional efforts incurred and associated out of pocket expenses. Both Prime Sourcing and BPO businesses comprise only of consulting services. The revenues generated from license fees and consulting services  depends on factors such as the number of new customers added, milestones achieved, implementation effort, etc. Therefore, such revenues typically vary from quarter to quarter and year to year.

 

Investment Rational

customers through digital channels, enhancing self-service, and reducing time to market for new products and services. Cloud technology is slowly moving to the forefront in the financial services industry as banks are beginning to see monetary benefits due to flexibility in business transformation. OFSS is well placed to help banks move to the cloud. It offers Software-as-a Service (SaaS) as also the option to host  applications in the customer data center along with the capability to manage it. They have adopted "build in" Machine Learning and AI into their applications as a principle. Today, Machine Learning algorithms can help  customers automatically generate the next best offers based on intelligent customer insight. Their AI and data science platform can help financial crime investigators reduce false positives. Conversational AI tools such as chatbots are now embedded in their digital experience platforms

Key Positives:

1.         1.. MNC Parentage

2.         2.Promoter’s share 73.12%r.

3.         3.Debt Free company

4.        4. ROCE >36%  ROE>26%

5.        5.Current Market cap 29483 crores (approx 6xof revenue)much lower than peers.

6.         6.A strong consistent slow growing  business model

7.         7.Q-3 Results already delivered EPS of Rs 163 (8% growth over last year)

8.       8.  Buy backs, Delisting etc. could be future triggers.

Ri   

Financial Performance:

 


 OFSS has delivered flat but consistent  Q3 results the EPS for nine months for FY21-22 is Rs 163.33 and full year expected EPS on conservative estimate could be close to  Rs215 .Stock is availaible at PE multiple of 15.5-15.8 which is very attractive for a MNC .A forward PE multiple of 20 with estimated EPS FY22-23 of Rs 230-232 stock has potential to touch Rs 4500 in one year. Company has been rewarding shareholder with very high dividend last year it was Rs 200 this year it could increase the dividend payout to Rs 210+ so if we consider dividend + potential appreciation of Rs 1100 it can deliver 40% returns in one year from CMP of Rs 3350-3400.

Sunday, September 26, 2021

Expleo Solutions Limited (INE201K01015) : A German MNC in IT & Engineering software services CMP Rs 1025-1050 one year Target price Rs 1400+





 

Expleo Solutions Limited is part of Germany based Expleo Group which provides an end-to-end and integrated engineering, quality and management consulting services for digital transformation. Expleo Solutions Limited (Indian Listed Company) is the leading Business Assurance and Testing Specialist focusing exclusively for Treasury and Capital Markets, Retail, Private and Commercial Banking, Insurance, Cards & Payments and Asset Management , with Strong expertise on Quality Assurance, Performance Engineering, Cyber Security, RPA/IPA, Software Development (Low-code), DevOps, Data, Cloud Migration having clients across APAC, USA, Europe and Middle East

History Of Expleo Group :

ATEM Engineering was founded in Paris,France to develop Plants in the steel and Nuclear industries which became Assystem Technologies in 1995. SQS founded in Cologne Germany in 1982 acquired majority stake in Thinksoft global services Limited (Indian listed company) in 2013 and in 2015 & again acquired Management consultancy firm Trissential LLC in the USA in 2018 Assystem Technologies acquired Sterlong dynamics UK Based marine and aerospace engineering specialist also acquired UK based  Moorhouse management consultancy firm and also in the same year acquired SQS software AG. Thus Assystem technologies became the holding company which became Expleo group of companies in 2019.

Expleo Solutions Limited (Listed Company in India)

In a recent move Expleo group decided to merge four(4) unlisted Indian subsidiaries based at Pune & Banglore  into Expleo solutions Limited to Consolidate  all the businesses of Group in India in a Single entity to enhance business focus, improve synergies and focus on building a scalable enterprise to attract talent and skills. This is a major change which could transform and diversify Expleo solutions limited from a software testing specialist focused exclusively in financial sector to a software development, validation, verification, certification and engineering design services in the field of Aerospace, Automotive, Defense and Rail Transportation Domain. This amalgamation could result in rerating of stock going forward on the bourses.

Expleo solutions has been growing at 12-13% in India with 20-21 Revenue of approx 305 crores the unlisted subsidiaries which are going to merge will contribute another Rs 270 odd crores to the topline post merger and also grown by 12to 13% in last FY 20-21


A brief Look at financials pre amalgamation and post amalgamation.





Key Positives:

  • 1.       MNC Parentage
  • 2.       Promoter’s share to rise to 71.05% from current 56.17% post merger.
  • 3.      Debt Free company
  • 4.       ROCE >37%  ROE>25%. 
  • 5.    At cmp Market cap approx 1600crores(post merger) approx 2.5 times of Revenue 
  • 5.       Both listed and unlisted companies growth was between 12-13% over last year.
  • 6.       Merger to add more business verticals and cost saving opportunities resulting in  improvement in  financial fundamentals.
  • 7.       2 recently established subsidiaries are yet to contribute and huge potential to grow in future.
  • 8.        Q-1 Results : Expleo solutions (Pre merger) achieved top line QOQ growth of 11% & EPS growth was 17%

 

Investment Rational:

Post merger there is a good opportunity for this MNC Company to utilize the synergies of different verticals more efficiently and transform Indian business from a software testing company to a diversified engineering services company. Management is targeting to grow top line at 15% + CAGR over next few years  at a conservative estimate of 15%  increase in EPS post merger next year which could result in EPS of Rs 66 for FY-21-22, a couple of % increase in PE Expansion due to rerating could take stock price to Rs 1400+ in one year. And over longer term it can still go higher. Technically after touching high of Rs 1360 was put in ASM category and since then it has been moving in range of Rs 1000-1100 and once it comes out of ASM it has potential to create new highs. Long term investors may buy at CMP of Rs 1025-1050 for a 40% returns in one year.


Happy investing.....


Disclosure : Invested 



This report is prepared based upon information and my understanding of company’s business & financials information available in various public forums such as company website, annual reports, concalls transcripts ,stock exchanges communications etc for knowledge sharing purpose. Readers are requested to validate the shared information & consult your financial advisor before taking any investment decision. I shall not be responsible for any loss or profit caused due to investment decision taken based on this report.